Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTSTeam Slayersloss 0:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ignitewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Slayers
No games played over 6 months.
Ignite
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
601 picks · 374 bans
Rubick
494 picks · 268 bans
Phoenix
493 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
404 picks · 560 bans
Puck
341 picks · 926 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 858 bans
Tusk
330 picks · 280 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Team Slayers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Ignite
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Slayers 48%Ignite 52%
The model gave 52% on Ignite — the game was taken by Ignite.
Model check result
Model favoriteIgnite · 52%
Series resultIgnite 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1