BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 30 games
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 15 games
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
MidOne · 14 games
Elder Titan
AhFu · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 21 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Q · 10 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 9 games
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 573 bans
Mars
446 picks · 601 bans
Weaver
424 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 175 bans
Kunkka
344 picks · 546 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
Wraith King
286 picks · 347 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 20%
Hero pool strength59% Team SMG
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total50% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team SMG 50%Motivate.Trust Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 50%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1