Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 22 games
Abaddon
Roddgeee · 21 game
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 15 games
Lionsignature
Roddgeee · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
Roddgeee · 15 games
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
AhFu · 14 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
368 picks · 543 bans
Bane
344 picks · 257 bans
Snapfire
337 picks · 203 bans
Weaver
327 picks · 715 bans
Monkey King
245 picks · 745 bans
Disruptor
240 picks · 157 bans
Io
240 picks · 568 bans
Tidehunter
236 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:43
Team SMG 56%Royal Never Give Up 44%
The model gave 56% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 34:06.
Game 2prediction missed13:38
Team SMG 56%Royal Never Give Up 44%
The model gave 56% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 24:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 56%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2