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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Chimera Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 38 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 27 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 26 games
65%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Larl · 22 games
59%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Miposhka · 22 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
76%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 19 games
79%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 19 games
63%

Chimera Esports

Muerta
Muertasignature
OneJey · 15 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
OneJey · 13 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 11 games
82%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 11 games
91%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Panto · 11 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 11 games
64%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Daxak · 9 games
78%
Magnus
Magnussignature
TA2000 · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
476 picks · 419 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
437 picks · 534 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
437 picks · 568 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
434 picks · 231 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
433 picks · 505 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
424 picks · 750 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 589 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
367 picks · 419 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 74%
Hero pool strength55% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:21
Team Spirit 66%Chimera Esports 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 51:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinYatoro
61% · 64 games53% · 33 games
BloodseekerTA2000
Bloodseeker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLarl
54% · 184 games40% · 344 games
PangolierLorenof
Pangolier
Night Stalker
Night StalkerCollapse
50% · 64 games51% · 176 games
MagnusMalik
Magnus
Enchantress
EnchantressMiposhka
46% · 183 games51% · 83 games
GrimstrokeOneJey
Grimstroke
Lion
Lionrue
52% · 249 games47% · 108 games
LichPanto
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 80%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1