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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 1:0
REKONIXloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Tusk
Tusksignature
rue · 26 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 23 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 20 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 20 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 19 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 19 games
63%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 18 games
72%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Panto · 16 games
63%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 22 games
68%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 12 games
83%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 12 games
42%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 10 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
610 picks · 949 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 437 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
488 picks · 642 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
479 picks · 639 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
445 picks · 963 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 661 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
398 picks · 541 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
389 picks · 240 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:22
Team Spirit 74%REKONIX 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 34:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzYatoro
60% · 104 games45% · 227 games
BeastmasterTraVins
Beastmaster
Largo
LargoCollapse
54% · 55 games50% · 294 games
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirele
54% · 597 games48% · 177 games
TimbersawFbz
Timbersaw
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanrue
59% · 357 games41% · 461 game
Tinydalul
Tiny
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
44% · 244 games45% · 198 games
DisruptorVarizh
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 89%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1