?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Resilienceloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 42 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 21 game
52%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 21 game
62%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
not me · 19 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
rue · 18 games
67%
Largo
Largooften banned
Collapse · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Panto · 17 games
35%

Team Resilience

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 13 games
69%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 11 games
73%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Echo · 10 games
70%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
niu · 9 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Echo · 8 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 8 games
50%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
512 picks · 357 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
362 picks · 436 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
349 picks · 600 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 486 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
317 picks · 624 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
307 picks · 343 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 216 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
298 picks · 160 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 61%
Hero pool strength52% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:9
Team Spirit 72%Team Resilience 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 29:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerYatoro
50% · 125 games54% · 68 games
Linapoyoyo
Lina
Dark Seer
Dark SeerCollapse
43% · 85 games56% · 121 game
InvokerEcho
Invoker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritLarl
48% · 137 games52% · 315 games
Centaur Warrunnerniu
Centaur Warrunner
Windranger
Windrangernot me
45% · 258 games46% · 199 games
RubickpLAnet
Rubick
Ringmaster
Ringmasterrue
46% · 189 games62% · 91 game
Winter Wyvernzzq
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction missed21:54
Team Spirit 71%Team Resilience 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 49:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYatoro
43% · 106 games54% · 102 games
Muertapoyoyo
Muerta
Tidehunter
TidehunterCollapse
48% · 317 games60% · 251 game
Ember SpiritEcho
Ember Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightLarl
45% · 395 games49% · 292 games
Centaur Warrunnerniu
Centaur Warrunner
Mirana
Mirananot me
47% · 191 game55% · 371 game
HoodwinkpLAnet
Hoodwink
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorrue
46% · 77 games53% · 70 games
Winter Wyvernzzq
Winter Wyvern
Game 3prediction correct29:14
Team Spirit 71%Team Resilience 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 39:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYatoro
49% · 218 games53% · 336 games
Shadow Fiendpoyoyo
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLarl
50% · 402 games54% · 452 games
PuckEcho
Puck
Underlord
UnderlordCollapse
44% · 249 games51% · 425 games
Pangolierniu
Pangolier
Jakiro
Jakirorue
49% · 404 games49% · 241 game
Enchantresszzq
Enchantress
Rubick
Rubicknot me
49% · 305 games53% · 124 games
MiranapLAnet
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 87%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3