BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 37 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 21 game
Ringmaster
rue · 21 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
Tusk
rue · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 20 games
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 34 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 29 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 27 games
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 23 games
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
546 picks · 336 bans
Phoenix
474 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
441 picks · 233 bans
Tiny
425 picks · 354 bans
Pangolier
366 picks · 498 bans
Puck
322 picks · 844 bans
Jakiro
320 picks · 217 bans
Beastmaster
315 picks · 802 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total58% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:33
Team Spirit 54%Team Yandex 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 33:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidYatoro
Shadow FiendWatson
PuckLarl
EnigmaDM
AxeCollapse
Night StalkerChira JUNIOR
Phoenixrue
Treant ProtectorMalady
Windrangernot me
HoodwinkSaksa
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 58%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1