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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Tideboundloss 0:1
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Tearlamentswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tidebound

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
y` · 25 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 13 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 12 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NothingToSay · 12 games
33%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Faith_bian · 12 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Echo · 11 games
55%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 16 games
81%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 12 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
Srf · 10 games
60%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 10 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
7e · 9 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
zzq · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
775 picks · 354 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
585 picks · 598 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
459 picks · 537 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
458 picks · 276 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
454 picks · 280 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
449 picks · 736 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 1126 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Tearlaments
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Team Tidebound
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:38
Team Tidebound 61%Tearlaments 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Tidebound — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 52:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
Weavershiro
40% · 61 game45% · 61 game
Juggernautpoyoyo
Juggernaut
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightEcho
48% · 320 games55% · 215 games
Sand King7e
Sand King
Pangolier
Pangolierniu
50% · 330 games51% · 176 games
Primal BeastSrf
Primal Beast
Chen
Cheny`
53% · 163 games47% · 246 games
HoodwinkTK
Hoodwink
Ringmaster
RingmasterpLAnet
57% · 277 games50% · 453 games
Jakirozzq
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tidebound · 74%
Series resultTearlaments 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1