Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Trustloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ardourwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Trust
No games played over 6 months.
Ardour
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 224 bans
Tiny
433 picks · 644 bans
Batrider
423 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 584 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 799 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 958 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Trust
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Trust
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Trust 55%Ardour 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Trust — the game was taken by Ardour.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Trust 55%Ardour 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Trust — the game was taken by Ardour.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Trust · 55%
Series resultArdour 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2