Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTVTeam Veteranwin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DGDrain Gangloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Veteran
No games played over 6 months.
Drain Gang
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mirana
4 picks · 2 bans
Puck
3 picks · 5 bans
Tiny
3 picks · 2 bans
Void Spirit
3 picks · 4 bans
Weaver
3 picks · 1 bans
Anti-Mage
2 picks · 1 bans
Brewmaster
2 picks · 1 bans
Death Prophet
2 picks · 1 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Veteran
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Team Veteran
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Veteran · 50%
Series resultTeam Veteran 1:0
Series predictioncorrect