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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 26 games
65%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
72%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 23 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 23 games
61%
Warlock
Warlock
Malady · 22 games
50%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 19 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 18 games
78%

Team Spirit

Tusk
Tusksignature
rue · 21 game
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 19 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 19 games
58%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 18 games
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 18 games
72%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Larl · 17 games
71%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
757 picks · 350 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
606 picks · 305 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
601 picks · 571 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
587 picks · 744 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
553 picks · 335 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
545 picks · 536 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
516 picks · 611 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
508 picks · 773 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 71%
Hero pool strength51% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total74% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:12
Team Yandex 37%Team Spirit 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 42:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawNoticed
52% · 171 game45% · 64 games
JuggernautYatoro
Juggernaut
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
57% · 75 games57% · 33 games
ViperLarl
Viper
Ursa
UrsaWatson
45% · 185 games51% · 256 games
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
Centaur Warrunner
Tusk
TuskSaksa
46% · 322 games57% · 254 games
PugnaPanto
Pugna
Dazzle
DazzleMalady
46% · 88 games48% · 234 games
Ringmasterrue
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction missed35:21
Team Yandex 37%Team Spirit 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 42:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetWatson
48% · 164 games45% · 41 game
KezYatoro
Kez
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
51% · 189 games50% · 337 games
BatriderCollapse
Batrider
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
50% · 179 games45% · 55 games
Earth SpiritLarl
Earth Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSaksa
58% · 175 games56% · 36 games
Spirit Breakerrue
Spirit Breaker
Undying
UndyingMalady
44% · 77 games51% · 315 games
RingmasterPanto
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 74%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2