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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zeroloss 0:1
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Spiky Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Zero

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ponlo · 14 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
BEYOND · 12 games
67%
Lion
Lionsignature
Ponlo · 12 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
zzq · 12 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
7e · 11 games
73%
Razor
Razoroften banned
7e · 10 games
50%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
7e · 10 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
zzq · 9 games
67%

Spiky Gaming

Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
Hara · 5 games
40%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Manic · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
0%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Manic · 2 games
0%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Xwy · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Hara · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
425 picks · 634 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
381 picks · 402 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 483 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
367 picks · 155 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
325 picks · 591 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
323 picks · 708 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
321 picks · 471 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
319 picks · 156 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 45%
Hero pool strength59% Team Zero
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total88% Team Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Zero 88%Spiky Gaming 12%
The model gave 88% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zero · 88%
Series resultSpiky Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1