BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Tearlamentsloss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Execrationwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tearlaments
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 16 games
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 13 games
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 11 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
Marssignature
Srf · 10 games
Snapfiresignature
7e · 9 games
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
zzq · 8 games
Execration
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 22 games
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
Tusksignature
Shanks · 16 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 15 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
Bounty Huntersignature
Shanks · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
776 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
585 picks · 598 bans
Hoodwink
561 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
460 picks · 539 bans
Tusk
458 picks · 277 bans
Jakiro
457 picks · 281 bans
Mars
450 picks · 737 bans
Puck
430 picks · 1127 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 49%
Hero pool strength55% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:20
Tearlaments 53%Execration 47%
The model gave 53% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Execration in 34:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knightpoyoyo
JuggernautPalos
Keeper of the Light7e
BeastmasterTino-
MarsSrf
PangolierBob
Naga Sirenzzq
RingmasterShanks
SnapfireTK
Crystal Maidencml
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 51%
Series resultExecration 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1