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BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tearlamentswin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RNG fanzha xianfengloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tearlaments

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 16 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 15 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 14 games
43%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 13 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
7e · 10 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
zzq · 8 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
poyoyo · 7 games
43%

RNG fanzha xianfeng

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
611 picks · 616 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
531 picks · 209 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
521 picks · 700 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
516 picks · 321 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
470 picks · 235 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
449 picks · 534 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
409 picks · 563 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
390 picks · 577 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:11
Tearlaments 89%RNG fanzha xianfeng 11%
The model gave 89% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by RNG fanzha xianfeng in 26:30.
Game 2prediction missed8:25
Tearlaments 89%RNG fanzha xianfeng 11%
The model gave 89% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by RNG fanzha xianfeng in 24:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTearlaments · 89%
Series resultTearlaments 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2