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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tearlamentsloss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tearlaments

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
7e · 4 games
25%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Srf · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Echo · 2 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
poyoyo · 2 games
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 2 games
0%
Alchemist
Alchemist
zzq · 1 game
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
7e · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 1 game
100%

Vici Gaming

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ori · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Dy · 2 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Kaka · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ori · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Yang · 2 games
100%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Kaka · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Yang · 1 game
100%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
Paparazi · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
478 picks · 447 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 534 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
441 picks · 221 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
342 picks · 641 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 446 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 659 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 219 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:30
Tearlaments 45%Vici Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerpoyoyo
50% · 38 games39% · 200 games
TerrorbladePaparazi
Terrorblade
Puck
PuckEcho
57% · 244 games46% · 110 games
Centaur WarrunnerYang
Centaur Warrunner
Bristleback
BristlebackSrf
57% · 232 games53% · 64 games
Void SpiritOri
Void Spirit
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenzzq
59% · 100 games42% · 127 games
WindrangerKaka
Windranger
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman7e
50% · 110 games46% · 223 games
PhoenixDy
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct25:31
Tearlaments 45%Vici Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 52:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladepoyoyo
50% · 354 games50% · 194 games
UrsaPaparazi
Ursa
Beastmaster
BeastmasterEcho
52% · 478 games48% · 215 games
TimbersawYang
Timbersaw
Dark Seer
Dark SeerSrf
52% · 376 games44% · 460 games
PangolierOri
Pangolier
Mirana
Miranazzq
57% · 132 games44% · 363 games
JakiroDy
Jakiro
Tusk
Tusk7e
51% · 374 games52% · 482 games
TinyKaka
Tiny
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 61%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2