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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tearlamentsloss 0:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tearlaments

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Echo · 4 games
100%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
7e · 4 games
25%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
7e · 4 games
75%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 3 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
zzq · 3 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
poyoyo · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Echo · 3 games
100%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 26 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 23 games
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 21 game
52%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 19 games
63%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 17 games
35%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
519 picks · 594 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
475 picks · 436 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
469 picks · 236 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
370 picks · 762 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
342 picks · 508 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
337 picks · 780 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
322 picks · 291 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 94 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% Tearlaments
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total73% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:19
Tearlaments 36%Yakult Brothers 64%
The model gave 64% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 44:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackpoyoyo
53% · 239 games50% · 254 games
Medusaflyfly
Medusa
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSrf
44% · 255 games54% · 304 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightEcho
46% · 239 games57% · 323 games
MagnusELeVeN
Magnus
Tusk
Tusk7e
46% · 276 games57% · 195 games
Shadow ShamanBoBoKa
Shadow Shaman
Warlock
Warlockzzq
48% · 126 games43% · 59 games
UndyingOli
Undying
Game 2prediction correct3:19
Tearlaments 38%Yakult Brothers 62%
The model gave 62% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 24:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinpoyoyo
47% · 116 games46% · 96 games
Lifestealerflyfly
Lifestealer
Void Spirit
Void SpiritEcho
48% · 61 game56% · 220 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Brewmaster
BrewmasterSrf
48% · 83 games51% · 25 games
Death ProphetELeVeN
Death Prophet
Rubick
Rubick7e
49% · 129 games57% · 78 games
Naga SirenOli
Naga Siren
Phoenix
Phoenixzzq
49% · 227 games48% · 197 games
Dark WillowBoBoKa
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 73%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2