BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Zoomersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marssignature
DarkMago · 16 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 13 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 13 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 12 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Matthew · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
DarkMago · 9 games
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
552 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 574 bans
Mars
444 picks · 593 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 750 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 540 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 176 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 573 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 48%
Hero pool strength60% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total72% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 72%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect