BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Snapfire
Matthew · 23 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 20 games
Marssignature
DarkMago · 18 games
Ogre Magi
Panda · 17 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 15 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 15 games
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Sacred · 13 games
Infinity Esports
Enchantresssignature
Nuages · 10 games
Snapfiresignature
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 10 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
Lion
Jupiter · 6 games
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 6 games
Pucksignature
Mr.Jeans · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
376 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
323 picks · 214 bans
Undying
315 picks · 556 bans
Primal Beast
253 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
243 picks · 373 bans
Tusk
226 picks · 137 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 271 bans
Enigma
212 picks · 734 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total67% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Thunder Awaken 67%Infinity Esports 33%
The model gave 67% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Thunder Awaken 67%Infinity Esports 33%
The model gave 67% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 67%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2