BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
King Of Kingsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marsoften banned
Frank · 14 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 14 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 10 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 10 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 10 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Matthew · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Pakazs · 7 games
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
554 picks · 381 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 569 bans
Mars
452 picks · 622 bans
Weaver
435 picks · 814 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 176 bans
Kunkka
345 picks · 547 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 572 bans
Wraith King
282 picks · 343 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 37%
Hero pool strength54% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total84% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:6
Thunder Awaken 84%King Of Kings 16%
The model gave 84% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 23:36.
Game 2prediction correct27:11
Thunder Awaken 84%King Of Kings 16%
The model gave 84% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 17:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 84%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2