BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenloss 0:2series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 0:2
XXxXxXXxwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marsoften banned
Frank · 15 games
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 8 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Mnz · 5 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mjz · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Earth Spirit
MoOz · 4 games
Iooften banned
Matthew · 4 games
XxXxXXx
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 3 games
Iooften banned
MoOz · 2 games
Silenceroften banned
MoOz · 2 games
Snapfire
MoOz · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Bane
Mjz · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
259 picks · 332 bans
Tidehunter
249 picks · 385 bans
Lion
246 picks · 141 bans
Lina
235 picks · 499 bans
Monkey King
229 picks · 506 bans
Pangolier
221 picks · 308 bans
Tiny
216 picks · 291 bans
Void Spirit
214 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 44%
Hero pool strength63% XxXxXXx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 83%
Series resultXxXxXXx 0:2
Series predictionmissed