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DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Titanwin 2:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ascent Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Titan

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
mercy · 1 game
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 1 game
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
poyoyo · 1 game
0%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
zzq · 1 game
0%

Ascent Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
czy · 4 games
25%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
TrazaM · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
TrazaM · 3 games
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
TrazaM · 2 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
czy · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
412 picks · 535 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
404 picks · 333 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
367 picks · 386 bans
46%
Lion
Lion
353 picks · 174 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
353 picks · 581 bans
45%
Batrider
Batrider
349 picks · 431 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
336 picks · 791 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
324 picks · 490 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% Ascent Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total82% Titan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:24
Titan 82%Ascent Esports 18%
The model gave 82% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan in 35:14.
Game 2prediction correct
Titan 82%Ascent Esports 18%
The model gave 82% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan.
Model check result
Model favoriteTitan · 82%
Series resultTitan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2