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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Titanwin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Toy Cartloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Titan

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
mercy · 1 game
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 1 game
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
poyoyo · 1 game
0%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
zzq · 1 game
0%

Toy Cart

Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Yumeyume · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Yumeyume · 4 games
100%
Lich
Lich
Ulu · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Ulu · 2 games
100%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
50%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Op · 2 games
100%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Ulu · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
437 picks · 523 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
437 picks · 533 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
379 picks · 569 bans
46%
Muerta
Muerta
367 picks · 283 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
362 picks · 401 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
346 picks · 172 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
333 picks · 727 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
319 picks · 144 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 63%
Hero pool strength64% Toy Cart
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Titan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:10
Titan 61%Toy Cart 39%
The model gave 61% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan in 21:44.
Game 2prediction correct29:14
Titan 61%Toy Cart 39%
The model gave 61% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan in 32:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteTitan · 61%
Series resultTitan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2