TpaBoMaH Team vs By_Owl Team — prediction BSB 13 · Dota 2

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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3

result vs prediction

TpaBoMaH Teamloss 0:2

series probability

44%56%

probability at match start · final 0:2

By_Owl Teamwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TpaBoMaH Team

No games played over 6 months.

By_Owl Team

Hoodwinksignature

rostikfacekid · 6 games

83%

Windrangeroften banned

rostikfacekid · 6 games

33%

Ringmaster

rostikfacekid · 5 games

60%

Marsoften banned

blindzone · 4 games

25%

Nature's Prophetoften banned

avice · 4 games

75%

Abaddonoften banned

blindzone · 3 games

Broodmotheroften banned

Koma` · 3 games

67%

Crystal Maiden

by_Owl · 3 games

33%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

539 picks · 326 bans

55%

Phoenix

496 picks · 586 bans

50%

Tiny

434 picks · 359 bans

51%

Rubick

415 picks · 225 bans

48%

Jakiro

360 picks · 261 bans

48%

Pangolier

340 picks · 469 bans

48%

Puck

337 picks · 866 bans

52%

Tusk

333 picks · 293 bans

55%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%

Hero pool strength50% TpaBoMaH Team

Head-to-head0 – 2

Model total56% By_Owl Team

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct26:52

TpaBoMaH Team 49%By_Owl Team 51%

The model gave 51% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 49:50.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo