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The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TT InfinBankwin 2:0
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dragon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TT InfinBank

No games played over 6 months.

Dragon Esports

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
dualrazee · 3 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 2 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
paw · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 2 games
100%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Norma · 2 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
paw · 2 games
50%
Zeus
Zeusoften banned
dualrazee · 2 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
dualrazee · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
487 picks · 224 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
449 picks · 704 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
434 picks · 616 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
428 picks · 393 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
411 picks · 753 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
387 picks · 161 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 749 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
352 picks · 1043 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Dragon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Dragon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TT InfinBank 40%Dragon Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by TT InfinBank.
Game 2prediction missed
TT InfinBank 40%Dragon Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by TT InfinBank.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon Esports · 60%
Series resultTT InfinBank 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2