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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Falconsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Tusk
Tusk
Whitemon · 32 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 31 game
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 29 games
62%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 28 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
33 · 24 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 24 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 21 game
67%

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 39 games
69%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 35 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 34 games
94%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 29 games
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 27 games
74%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
475 picks · 411 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
459 picks · 563 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
446 picks · 551 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
428 picks · 541 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 779 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 450 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
408 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
396 picks · 854 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% Team Falcons
Head-to-head3 – 8
Model total54% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:33
Tundra Esports 46%Team Falcons 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 55:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
Linabzm
48% · 99 games56% · 169 games
Monkey KingMalr1ne
Monkey King
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
47% · 109 games52% · 86 games
LifestealerSkiter
Lifestealer
Doom
Doom33
47% · 153 games58% · 8 games
Legion CommanderATF
Legion Commander
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSaksa
53% · 92 games49% · 310 games
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Muerta
MuertaWhitemon
47% · 182 games49% · 62 games
Shadow ShamanCr1t-
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed33:18
Tundra Esports 48%Team Falcons 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 27:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassindyrachyo
49% · 118 games55% · 204 games
BristlebackATF
Bristleback
Doom
Doom33
47% · 376 games47% · 439 games
PangolierMalr1ne
Pangolier
Primal Beast
Primal Beastbzm
57% · 443 games48% · 340 games
Dragon KnightSkiter
Dragon Knight
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSaksa
47% · 550 games53% · 271 game
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Warlock
WarlockWhitemon
48% · 45 games48% · 278 games
HoodwinkCr1t-
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 54%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2