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BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Spiritloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
Sneyking · 14 games
79%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Saksa · 14 games
93%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 13 games
77%
Visage
Visagesignature
33 · 12 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Skiter · 11 games
64%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Skiter · 11 games
91%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Nine · 11 games
82%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
33 · 9 games
44%

Team Spirit

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mira · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Mira · 16 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Miposhka · 13 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 13 games
85%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Larl · 13 games
77%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 12 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 10 games
80%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 10 games
90%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 362 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
512 picks · 498 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
498 picks · 427 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
375 picks · 451 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
360 picks · 355 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
327 picks · 170 bans
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
295 picks · 186 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
292 picks · 716 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 80%
Hero pool strength52% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total53% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:17
Tundra Esports 52%Team Spirit 48%
The model gave 52% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 47:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSkiter
55% · 92 games54% · 65 games
SniperYatoro
Sniper
Doom
DoomNine
49% · 184 games49% · 44 games
Dark SeerCollapse
Dark Seer
Enigma
Enigma33
48% · 149 games47% · 233 games
SnapfireLarl
Snapfire
Earthshaker
EarthshakerSaksa
44% · 89 games59% · 42 games
RikiMira
Riki
Mirana
MiranaSneyking
50% · 300 games49% · 430 games
TinyMiposhka
Tiny
Game 2prediction missed20:39
Tundra Esports 54%Team Spirit 46%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 33:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doom33
43% · 173 games52% · 151 game
MorphlingYatoro
Morphling
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNine
49% · 72 games44% · 284 games
Ember SpiritLarl
Ember Spirit
Spectre
SpectreSkiter
57% · 45 games56% · 59 games
MagnusCollapse
Magnus
Tusk
TuskSaksa
48% · 355 games51% · 318 games
RubickMira
Rubick
Mirana
MiranaSneyking
57% · 307 games46% · 140 games
UndyingMiposhka
Undying
Game 3prediction correct51:35
Tundra Esports 52%Team Spirit 48%
The model gave 52% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 1:05:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaSkiter
51% · 140 games57% · 129 games
LeshracLarl
Leshrac
Batrider
BatriderNine
48% · 200 games47% · 98 games
TerrorbladeYatoro
Terrorblade
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
54% · 62 games44% · 70 games
TidehunterCollapse
Tidehunter
Undying
UndyingSneyking
55% · 253 games47% · 225 games
SnapfireMira
Snapfire
Riki
RikiSaksa
55% · 84 games43% · 217 games
TuskMiposhka
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 53%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3