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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Tusk
Tusk
Whitemon · 31 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 29 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 27 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 26 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
33 · 24 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 23 games
70%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
79%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 24 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 20 games
45%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 18 games
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 17 games
71%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 15 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
60%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
475 picks · 419 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
437 picks · 535 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
436 picks · 568 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
435 picks · 231 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
432 picks · 506 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
424 picks · 751 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 588 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
367 picks · 420 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 65%
Hero pool strength53% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:36
Tundra Esports 72%Yakult Brothers 28%
The model gave 72% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 28:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassindyrachyo
49% · 181 game49% · 210 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Visage
Visage33
47% · 74 games60% · 207 games
BristlebackAme
Bristleback
Invoker
Invokerbzm
46% · 221 game52% · 56 games
Lycanzeal
Lycan
Pugna
PugnaWhitemon
54% · 186 games48% · 217 games
MuertaBoBoKa
Muerta
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSaksa
48% · 357 games48% · 329 games
Batrider天命
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 88%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1