European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Two Movewin 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Lynxloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Two Move
No games played over 6 months.
Team Lynx
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 27 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 23 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 23 games
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 20 games
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 20 games
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 19 games
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 19 games
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
489 picks · 272 bans
Phoenix
486 picks · 551 bans
Jakiro
470 picks · 386 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 348 bans
Tusk
393 picks · 333 bans
Beastmaster
359 picks · 829 bans
Puck
349 picks · 853 bans
Warlock
335 picks · 196 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 62%
Hero pool strength55% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Two Move 31%Team Lynx 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Two Move.
Game 2prediction missed
Two Move 31%Team Lynx 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Two Move.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 69%
Series resultTwo Move 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2