BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
UNLUCKloss 0:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:1
IVPGGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UNLUCK
No games played over 6 months.
IVPGG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
497 picks · 654 bans
Muerta
473 picks · 405 bans
Batrider
465 picks · 589 bans
Clockwerk
459 picks · 565 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 515 bans
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 794 bans
Magnus
415 picks · 936 bans
Lion
397 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% UNLUCK
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% UNLUCK
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:34
UNLUCK 61%IVPGG 39%
The model gave 61% on UNLUCK — the game was taken by IVPGG in 35:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNLUCK · 61%
Series resultIVPGG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1