BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
UNLUCKwin 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MUSIC HALLloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UNLUCK
No games played over 6 months.
MUSIC HALL
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
542 picks · 766 bans
Clockwerk
506 picks · 565 bans
Tiny
499 picks · 587 bans
Batrider
496 picks · 614 bans
Muerta
479 picks · 408 bans
Magnus
446 picks · 992 bans
Gyrocopter
445 picks · 807 bans
Bristleback
398 picks · 906 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% UNLUCK
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% UNLUCK
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:33
UNLUCK 54%MUSIC HALL 46%
The model gave 54% on UNLUCK — the game was taken by UNLUCK in 35:09.
Game 2prediction missed18:52
UNLUCK 54%MUSIC HALL 46%
The model gave 54% on UNLUCK — the game was taken by MUSIC HALL in 30:27.
Game 3prediction correct21:45
UNLUCK 54%MUSIC HALL 46%
The model gave 54% on UNLUCK — the game was taken by UNLUCK in 33:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNLUCK · 54%
Series resultUNLUCK 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3