CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
V1dar Gamingloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Montewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
V1dar Gaming
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 1 game
Monte
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Crystal Maiden
EcNart · 11 games
Dark Willowoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 11 games
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 10 games
Rubick
QBFY · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
407 picks · 302 bans
Hoodwink
405 picks · 419 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 898 bans
Weaver
391 picks · 809 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 534 bans
Phoenix
347 picks · 702 bans
Clockwerk
346 picks · 478 bans
Gyrocopter
313 picks · 381 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 29%
Hero pool strength52% Monte
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Monte
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
V1dar Gaming 43%Monte 57%
The model gave 57% on Monte — the game was taken by Monte.
Game 2prediction correct
V1dar Gaming 43%Monte 57%
The model gave 57% on Monte — the game was taken by Monte.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonte · 57%
Series resultMonte 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2