ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Allianceloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 11 games
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 10 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 9 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 9 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 8 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Ori · 7 games
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
426 picks · 981 bans
Void Spirit
404 picks · 595 bans
Mars
353 picks · 636 bans
Earth Spirit
316 picks · 271 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 617 bans
Rubick
260 picks · 174 bans
Wraith King
256 picks · 422 bans
Phoenix
253 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Alliance
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:35
Vici Gaming 50%Alliance 50%
The model gave 50% on Alliance — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 32:31.
Game 2prediction correct19:34
Vici Gaming 50%Alliance 50%
The model gave 50% on Alliance — the game was taken by Alliance in 37:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2