i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Invictus Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Grimstroke
Dy · 28 games
Void Spirit
Ori · 26 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Ori · 24 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 22 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Ori · 22 games
Timbersawsignature
ELeVeN · 22 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 21 game
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
389 picks · 170 bans
Hoodwink
353 picks · 128 bans
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 349 bans
Nyx Assassin
266 picks · 540 bans
Winter Wyvern
255 picks · 244 bans
Lina
251 picks · 396 bans
Mars
249 picks · 400 bans
Luna
244 picks · 330 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total54% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:20
Vici Gaming 54%Invictus Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 43:06.
Game 2prediction missed6:19
Vici Gaming 54%Invictus Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 25:20.
Game 3prediction correct33:18
Vici Gaming 54%Invictus Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 54%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3