i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Grimstroke
Dy · 26 games
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 25 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 23 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Ori · 22 games
Timbersawsignature
ELeVeN · 22 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Ori · 21 game
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 21 game
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
409 picks · 187 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 131 bans
Nyx Assassin
294 picks · 598 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 361 bans
Mars
277 picks · 457 bans
Puck
268 picks · 601 bans
Winter Wyvern
261 picks · 246 bans
Lina
254 picks · 369 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total74% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:17
Vici Gaming 74%Team MagMa 26%
The model gave 74% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 39:37.
Game 2prediction correct29:9
Vici Gaming 74%Team MagMa 26%
The model gave 74% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 27:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 74%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2