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Randomania 2 по Dota 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Виндизелиwin 1:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Бумерыloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Виндизели

No games played over 6 months.

Бумеры

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
495 picks · 356 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
381 picks · 227 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
345 picks · 643 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
337 picks · 344 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
314 picks · 230 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
301 picks · 291 bans
61%
Pangolier
Pangolier
291 picks · 394 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
287 picks · 419 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Виндизели
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Бумеры
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Виндизели 47%Бумеры 53%
The model gave 53% on Бумеры — the game was taken by Виндизели.
Model check result
Model favoriteБумеры · 53%
Series resultВиндизели 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1