BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:1series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Stelswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Jakirooften banned
Fly · 36 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 24 games
Warlock
Fly · 24 games
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
Tinyoften banned
Hellscream · 18 games
Pucksignature
Abed · 17 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Abed · 16 games
Primal Beast
SabeRLight- · 15 games
Team Stels
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
675 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 427 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1133 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 685 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:33
Virtus.pro 76%Team Stels 24%
The model gave 76% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Team Stels in 34:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BristlebackSabeRLight-
Keeper of the LightArrOw
Ember SpiritAbed
Monkey KingTimado
RubickHellscream
JakiroFly
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 90%
Series resultTeam Stels 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1