?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE Universe: Episode 7 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
V-Tune · 28 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 26 games
62%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 22 games
64%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Daxak · 22 games
55%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Rein · 21 game
57%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Antares · 20 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Abed · 19 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 19 games
47%

Yellow Submarine

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Infernal · 24 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 24 games
58%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
mrls · 22 games
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
mrls · 22 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
mrls · 21 game
33%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 20 games
40%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mirele · 20 games
65%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 19 games
42%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
466 picks · 239 bans
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
458 picks · 444 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
358 picks · 946 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
324 picks · 370 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
304 picks · 148 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
294 picks · 225 bans
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
288 picks · 669 bans
57%
Batrider
Batrider
286 picks · 642 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 48%
Hero pool strength55% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:23
Virtus.pro 69%Yellow Submarine 31%
The model gave 69% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 45:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonTimado
49% · 131 game66% · 17 games
Juggernautbottega
Juggernaut
Puck
PuckAbed
48% · 222 games49% · 357 games
BeastmasterMirele
Beastmaster
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerDaxak
46% · 220 games60% · 112 games
Night Stalkerlaise
Night Stalker
Pudge
PudgeAntares
53% · 22 games43% · 134 games
EnchantressRodjER
Enchantress
Jakiro
JakiroFly
52% · 168 games48% · 143 games
Hoodwinksayuw
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct34:7
Virtus.pro 69%Yellow Submarine 31%
The model gave 69% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 33:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonTimado
47% · 220 games47% · 220 games
Shadow FiendMirele
Shadow Fiend
Bristleback
BristlebackDaxak
55% · 408 games45% · 170 games
Svenbottega
Sven
Pangolier
PangolierAbed
48% · 529 games49% · 410 games
Beastmasterlaise
Beastmaster
Disruptor
DisruptorFly
54% · 206 games53% · 305 games
PhoenixRodjER
Phoenix
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAntares
48% · 222 games53% · 480 games
Tinysayuw
Tiny
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 83%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2