BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
VooDooSh Teamloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YBN Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
VooDooSh Team
No games played over 6 months.
YBN Team
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Silenceroften banned
good_mma · 4 games
Dragon Knight
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
Lion
EARTHQ · 3 games
Luna
zvёzd · 3 games
Marcioften banned
EARTHQ · 3 games
Omniknight
Limitless · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
408 picks · 368 bans
Snapfire
370 picks · 188 bans
Puck
348 picks · 886 bans
Pugna
309 picks · 354 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 242 bans
Dawnbreaker
282 picks · 809 bans
Warlock
281 picks · 136 bans
Batrider
276 picks · 688 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% YBN Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:31
VooDooSh Team 46%YBN Team 54%
The model gave 54% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 34:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaSmiling Knight
Broodmotherzvёzd
KunkkaLimitless
Sand KingGroom
Ogre MagiVooDooSh
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
SnapfireLevsky
Zeusgood_mma
46% · 141 game
MuertaEARTHQ
Game 2prediction missed14:41
VooDooSh Team 50%YBN Team 50%
The model gave 50% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 29:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
Linazvёzd
Legion CommanderLimitless
BeastmasterGroom
VenomancerVooDooSh
Windrangerybicanoooobov
TechiesLevsky
TuskEARTHQ
46% · 72 games
Warlockgood_mma
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 52%
Series resultYBN Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2