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Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
Water Rune Enjoyersloss 0:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Water Rune Enjoyers

Tiny
Tiny
Nukkumatti · 22 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Nukkumatti · 17 games
41%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Stojkov · 15 games
60%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
BliNcc · 14 games
21%
Lina
Linasignature
Stojkov · 14 games
71%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Palantimos · 14 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Palantimos · 14 games
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
b1kA · 13 games
46%

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 22 games
59%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 20 games
45%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 19 games
68%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
75%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 16 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 14 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
373 picks · 601 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
325 picks · 214 bans
48%
Undying
Undying
314 picks · 552 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
252 picks · 481 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
242 picks · 375 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
230 picks · 137 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 272 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
211 picks · 731 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct1:28
Water Rune Enjoyers 33%cybercats 67%
The model gave 67% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 16:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerPalantimos
42% · 33 games52% · 38 games
Dark SeerDkFogas
Dark Seer
Lina
LinaStojkov
49% · 148 games52% · 174 games
Monkey KingAlberkaaa
Monkey King
Lycan
LycanBliNcc
53% · 74 games52% · 367 games
TinyChira JUNIOR
Tiny
Snapfire
Snapfirey0nd
45% · 270 games59% · 72 games
Primal Beastforcemajor
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskMary_y
47% · 184 games48% · 58 games
DazzleHduo
Dazzle
Game 2prediction correct30:53
Water Rune Enjoyers 35%cybercats 65%
The model gave 65% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 46:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperPalantimos
54% · 58 games51% · 172 games
WeaverAlberkaaa
Weaver
Kunkka
KunkkaStojkov
46% · 224 games54% · 172 games
BeastmasterDkFogas
Beastmaster
Razor
RazorBliNcc
46% · 177 games44% · 97 games
TuskChira JUNIOR
Tusk
Riki
Rikiy0nd
58% · 12 games58% · 89 games
Miranaforcemajor
Mirana
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorMary_y
52% · 92 games43% · 33 games
LichHduo
Lich
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 77%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2