Asia Pacific Predator League 2024 · BO1
result vs predictionWWhoops!loss 0:1
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Blacklist Internationalwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Whoops!
No games played over 6 months.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Phoenix
239 picks · 374 bans
Centaur Warrunner
225 picks · 297 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
213 picks · 99 bans
Tusk
211 picks · 198 bans
Treant Protector
190 picks · 360 bans
Kunkka
186 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% Whoops!
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Whoops! 8%Blacklist International 92%
The model gave 92% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 92%
Series resultBlacklist International 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1