BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Snapfire
The Warden · 17 games
Tinysignature
The Warden · 14 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 13 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
Skywrath Magesignature
The Warden · 10 games
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 8 games
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakiro
albinozebra · 25 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 12 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
Tiny
Giant · 9 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Naga Sirensignature
dnm · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
378 picks · 602 bans
Undying
316 picks · 560 bans
Tiny
311 picks · 203 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 475 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 340 bans
Enigma
220 picks · 722 bans
Shadow Fiend
209 picks · 253 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 115 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total54% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:39
Wildcard Gaming 46%5RATFORCESTAFF 54%
The model gave 54% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 37:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendAdzantick
Terrorbladednm
Wraith KingYuma
DoomSpeeed
EnigmaDavai
MiranaMoOz
Nyx AssassinAlexxo
Jakiroalbinozebra
Crystal MaidenBoris
Game 2prediction missed46:17
Wildcard Gaming 47%5RATFORCESTAFF 53%
The model gave 53% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 48:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ZeusAdzantick
Naga Sirendnm
Faceless VoidYuma
BatriderSpeeed
TimbersawDavai
TinyMoOz
DoomBoris
Crystal Maidenalbinozebra
RubickAlexxo
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2