BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dreamerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Rubick
Alexxo · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
FrancisLee · 10 games
Tinysignature
Babitich · 10 games
Clockwerk
Chen · 8 games
Doomoften banned
Sunlight · 8 games
Tusk
Sammyboy · 7 games
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Babitich · 5 games
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
466 picks · 309 bans
Tusk
463 picks · 454 bans
Tiny
450 picks · 403 bans
Mirana
330 picks · 328 bans
Treant Protector
319 picks · 367 bans
Snapfire
281 picks · 144 bans
Ember Spirit
257 picks · 640 bans
Crystal Maiden
241 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:37
Wildcard Gaming 59%Dreamers 41%
The model gave 59% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Dreamers in 47:39.
Game 2prediction missed26:41
Wildcard Gaming 59%Dreamers 41%
The model gave 59% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Dreamers in 37:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 59%
Series resultDreamers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2