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DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Meant 2 Beloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Speeed · 3 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Speeed · 2 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
YamSun · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
YamSun · 2 games
50%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Fayde · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fayde · 2 games
50%

Meant 2 Be

Leshrac
Leshrac
bgod · 2 games
50%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Double King · 2 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Double King · 1 game
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Double King · 1 game
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Double King · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
bgod · 1 game
100%
Marci
Marci
bgod · 1 game
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Double King · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
414 picks · 339 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
410 picks · 537 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
364 picks · 379 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
354 picks · 435 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
353 picks · 182 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
347 picks · 584 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
329 picks · 812 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
329 picks · 338 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Meant 2 Be
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total73% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:4
Wildcard Gaming 60%Meant 2 Be 40%
The model gave 60% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 21:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusYamSun
45% · 35 games50% · 153 games
MedusaDouble King
Medusa
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritRCY
48% · 49 games57% · 118 games
Nyx Assassinbgod
Nyx Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFayde
42% · 75 games
Muerta
MuertaBignum
44% · 61 game
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSpeeed
52% · 51 game
Game 2prediction correct29:25
Wildcard Gaming 60%Meant 2 Be 40%
The model gave 60% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 48:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYamSun
44% · 110 games61% · 34 games
ClinkzDouble King
Clinkz
Broodmother
BroodmotherFayde
36% · 38 games53% · 357 games
Hoodwinkbgod
Hoodwink
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRCY
46% · 89 games
Muerta
MuertaBignum
51% · 71 game
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSpeeed
44% · 83 games
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 73%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2