FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TLTeam leook223loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Magnussignature
Fayde · 18 games
Muerta
Bignum · 12 games
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 9 games
Gyrocoptersignature
YamSun · 8 games
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 7 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 7 games
Team leook223
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
539 picks · 740 bans
Clockwerk
500 picks · 573 bans
Batrider
494 picks · 614 bans
Tiny
488 picks · 581 bans
Muerta
485 picks · 414 bans
Magnus
451 picks · 986 bans
Gyrocopter
449 picks · 804 bans
Lion
406 picks · 230 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Wildcard Gaming 86%Team leook223 14%
The model gave 86% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 86%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1