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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yoru Ryodanloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 24 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 22 games
36%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 14 games
71%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
YamSun · 14 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 12 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 12 games
67%

Yoru Ryodan

Lion
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 580 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
491 picks · 442 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
462 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
358 picks · 723 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
326 picks · 745 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 505 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
311 picks · 268 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
301 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 73%
Hero pool strength57% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:6
Wildcard Gaming 75%Yoru Ryodan 25%
The model gave 75% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 22:46.
Game 2prediction correct36:14
Wildcard Gaming 75%Yoru Ryodan 25%
The model gave 75% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 33:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 75%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2