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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamwin 2:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Uniqueloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Phoenix
Phoenix
yamich · 19 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
re1bl · 13 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
yamich · 12 games
50%
Lion
Lion
yamich · 12 games
25%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
chshrct · 11 games
55%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
re1bl · 11 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
re1bl · 10 games
20%
Lina
Linaoften banned
re1bl · 10 games
50%

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
419 picks · 170 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 464 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
309 picks · 520 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
296 picks · 619 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
292 picks · 737 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
282 picks · 161 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
275 picks · 358 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
265 picks · 219 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Team Unique
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:12
Winstrike Team 30%Team Unique 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Unique — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 49:22.
Game 2prediction correct6:18
Winstrike Team 30%Team Unique 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Unique — the game was taken by Team Unique in 24:05.
Game 3prediction missed29:20
Winstrike Team 30%Team Unique 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Unique — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 47:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 70%
Series resultWinstrike Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3