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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Winter Bearloss 0:2
series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winter Bear

Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Jeezy · 4 games
75%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Nagato · 2 games
50%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Lowskill · 2 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Nagato · 2 games
0%
Tusk
Tusk
Stoic · 2 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Stoic · 2 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Nagato · 1 game
100%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubick
OmaR · 31 game
55%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
TA2000 · 18 games
61%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Malik · 17 games
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Kaori · 15 games
53%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
No!ob · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 13 games
46%
Mirana
Miranasignature
OmaR · 12 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
256 picks · 425 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
247 picks · 379 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
245 picks · 339 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
216 picks · 204 bans
46%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 285 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
199 picks · 506 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
196 picks · 98 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
179 picks · 322 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:31
Winter Bear 24%PSG Quest 76%
The model gave 76% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 41:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Rubick
RubickJeezy
44% · 403 games38% · 30 games
JuggernautTA2000
Juggernaut
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorStoic
57% · 163 games46% · 242 games
BeastmasterMalik
Beastmaster
57% · 70 games
EarthshakerNo!ob
Earthshaker
52% · 184 games
BatriderOmaR
Batrider
52% · 40 games
Ancient ApparitionKaori
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct11:34
Winter Bear 24%PSG Quest 76%
The model gave 76% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 24:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritStoic
45% · 107 games53% · 65 games
LinaTA2000
Lina
Tiny
TinyJeezy
49% · 283 games47% · 61 game
MarsMalik
Mars
50% · 72 games
PuckNo!ob
Puck
58% · 68 games
LionOmaR
Lion
56% · 124 games
Treant ProtectorKaori
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 89%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2