CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winter Bearloss 0:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Teawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Winter Bear
Vengeful Spirit
Stoic · 13 games
Rubick
Jeezy · 11 games
Lion
Jeezy · 9 games
Crystal Maiden
Stoic · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
Stoic · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 4 games
Nature's Prophet
Stoic · 4 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
421 picks · 607 bans
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 388 bans
Crystal Maiden
363 picks · 142 bans
Centaur Warrunner
356 picks · 463 bans
Dark Willow
323 picks · 345 bans
Pangolier
316 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
313 picks · 162 bans
Dragon Knight
312 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:51
Winter Bear 28%Team Tea 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 31:42.
Game 2prediction correct18:45
Winter Bear 28%Team Tea 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 28:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 72%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2