BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wolf Teamwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Feltloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Felt
Weaveroften banned
Zore · 10 games
Tiny
solji · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
Fayde · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zore · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Fayde · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
paradise' · 5 games
Abaddonoften banned
Shoe · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
598 picks · 454 bans
Marci
459 picks · 668 bans
Dawnbreaker
370 picks · 508 bans
Puck
355 picks · 809 bans
Winter Wyvern
309 picks · 391 bans
Death Prophet
306 picks · 485 bans
Dazzle
256 picks · 163 bans
Zeus
256 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 28%
Hero pool strength58% Wolf Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:46
Wolf Team 64%Felt 36%
The model gave 64% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Felt in 35:44.
Game 2prediction missed51:28
Wolf Team 64%Felt 36%
The model gave 64% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Felt in 35:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 64%
Series resultWolf Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2