Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wolf Teamloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SG e-sportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
446 picks · 266 bans
Queen of Pain
372 picks · 498 bans
Mars
369 picks · 510 bans
Weaver
351 picks · 481 bans
Kunkka
283 picks · 493 bans
Death Prophet
281 picks · 427 bans
Grimstroke
263 picks · 181 bans
Ember Spirit
258 picks · 307 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Wolf Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:26
Wolf Team 50%SG e-sports 50%
The model gave 50% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 24:48.
Game 2prediction correct28:26
Wolf Team 50%SG e-sports 50%
The model gave 50% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 34:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 50%
Series resultSG e-sports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2